As the US presidential election rapidly closes in, heads are spinning with the pace of events. After a roller coaster-like summer, we had a presidential debate like no other, coronavirus infections at a White House superspreader event, contentious hearings for a Supreme Court nominee, and who knows what else will occur between now and November 3.
It is time to step back and take stock of what will follow the election. I will leave it to others to guess what will happen in terms of new policies and personnel. Incumbent US President Donald Trump seems unable to identify and recruit competent administrators. By contrast, Joe Biden reportedly has a cast of 2,000 self-identified foreign policy advisers alone.
My focus is on two things – what should not happen right after the election and what needs to happen early in the next presidential and Congressional term. The polls and Trump’s own chaotic and non-strategic behaviour show him in serious jeopardy of losing. There is also a not insignificant chance his defeat will lead to a Senate with a narrow Democratic majority and continued Democratic control of the House of Representatives.