The Paths to Victory

The Paths to Victory

The road to the White House requires winning 270 of the 538 electoral votes at stake, but the decisive votes will likely come from the narrower terrain of about 13 battlegrounds. Those 187 electoral votes from 11 states, plus two congressional districts that each award a single electoral vote, are expected to determine who emerges victorious once the votes are counted.

Democratic nominee Joe Biden starts with a mathematical advantage over President Trump. States considered solidly or likely Democratic have a combined 226 electoral votes, based on combined ratings from three nonpartisan political analysts: the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales and Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Mr. Trump, on the other hand, starts with 125 electoral votes likely or solidly in his column—meaning each of the contests considered up for grabs is more critical to his path to victory.