This election, voters who are white wield far more power than voters of color.
The Electoral College is stacked against nonwhite voters to such a degree that this year, the average white, non-Hispanic voter appears to have almost twice the power to decide the election as the average Asian American voter, according to a data analysis by BuzzFeed News.
The reason, in short, is that white voters are much more likely than other voters to live in swing states — places such as Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan — where their 2020 ballots have a greater chance of deciding who becomes president.
The Big Picture
BuzzFeed News highlighted a similar effect in 2016. This time around, the political map has shifted, but the effect on voters remains.
BuzzFeed News conducted an analysis that combines voter registration data from the US Census with the “Voter Power Index” (VPI), a tool devised by the statistical analysis site FiveThirtyEight. The VPI measures the relative likelihood that a voter will cast the deciding ballot in the presidential election. (You can read more about the methodology at the bottom of this post.)